Match Info

Date: 22 August 2021, Sunday


	Goiás		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	2.8	4.6
	1.84	3	4.25	Watch
	1.93	2.9	4.4
	1.99	3	5.02
	1.88	3.1	4.33
	1.95	3.02	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.82)	2.97 ↓ (3.06)	4.54 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
48.3%

Draw
31.2%

Sampaio Corrêa
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

30.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

18.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Goiás that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Goiás - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 6).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Goiás is a favorite.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
19.08.21	Brusque - Goiás	0:1 ✺
13.08.21	Goiás - Guarani	2:1 ✺
10.08.21	Goiás - Remo	1:1 ✺
06.08.21	Coritiba - Goiás	1:1 ✺
30.07.21	Goiás - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTTW
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
17.08.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Avaí	0:2 ✺
14.08.21	Cruzeiro - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
11.08.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
07.08.21	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	0:2 ✺
31.07.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Sampaio Corrêa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
31.05.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Goiás	0:0
05.11.18	Goiás - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
20.07.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Goiás	1:3
22.11.16	Goiás - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1
16.08.16	Sampaio Corrêa - Goiás	0:0

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