Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 37

Date: 20 November 2023, Monday


	Sampaio Corrêa		Avaí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.3	5
	1.75	3.4	5	Watch
	1.74	3.45	5.52
	1.75	3.4	5.5
	1.65	3.6	4.75
	1.74	3.44	5.1	Watch
	1.75	3.35	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.79)	3.42 ↑ (3.31)	5.1 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
54.3%

Draw
27.4%

Avaí
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

28.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

27.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	31.6%	21.1%

Sampaio Corrêa - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Avaí will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampaio Corrêa: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 20. Mauricio Maranhao 14. Icaro 3. Rafael Jansen 6. Para (C) 21. Neto Paraiba 8. Ferreira 15. Eloir 11. Pimentinha 23. Ytalo 19. Vitinho	1. Igor Bohn (G) 72. Thales Oleques 95. Jonathan Costa 3. Alan 31. Bruno Cortez 5. Wellington (C) 23. Rafael Gava 77. Giovanni 78. Andrey 9. Gabriel Poveda 29. Jean Lucas
Substitutes
7. Claudinei 22. Gabriel Silva 9. Getterson 4. Gustavo Henrique 5. Leonan 13. Lucas Mota 2. Mateus Pivo 16. Patrick Allan 17. Riquelmo 10. Robinho 12. Thiago Braga (G) 18. Thiaguinho	44. Douglas 22. Douglas Friedrich (G) 90. Fellipe Bastos 17. Gustavo Modesto 98. Igor 2. Igor Dutra 16. Jean Cleber 4. Roberto Rosa 38. Rocha F. 39. Xavier
Coaches
Ferreira D.	Barroca E.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1.

Sampaio Corrêa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Avaí is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sampaio Corrêa is a favorite.

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Lucas Mota (Injury) Luiz Daniel (Injury) Pimentinha (Injury)

There will not play in Avaí: Didi (Injury) Eduardo (Injury) Julio Cesar (Injury) Thiago Rosa (Injury) Wellington (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
11.11.23	Ituano - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Tombense	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Criciúma - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0 ✺
20.10.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLLT
- Avaí
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
15.11.23	Concórdia - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
11.11.23	Avaí - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
07.11.23	Avaí - Concórdia	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.11.23	Ponte Preta - Avaí	0:1 ✺
26.10.23	ABC - Avaí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.07.23	Avaí - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0
28.11.21	Avaí - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1
17.08.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Avaí	0:2
15.12.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Avaí	0:1
20.09.20	Avaí - Sampaio Corrêa	2:5
22.09.18	Avaí - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1
05.06.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Avaí	1:1

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