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Current Win Probability
Coritiba 47.9%
Draw 31.5%
Goiás 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
31.3%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
30.4%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coritiba's performance.
Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goiás might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goiás could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Coritiba - Goiás Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Goiás will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Coritiba (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 73. Zeca 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 16. Joao Almeida 70. Wallisson 19. Gomez S. (C) 36. Vini Paulista 25. Clayson 11. Lucas Ronier 99. Rodrigo Rodrigues
1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 97. Willean Lepo 75. Messias 14. Lucas Ribeiro (C) 36. Lucas Lovat 77. Marcao Silva 32. Rodrigo Andrade 28. Juninho 27. Wellington Rato 9. Anselmo Ramon 11. Welliton
Substitutes
67. Benassi (G) 49. Dellatorre 27. de Pena C. 22. Felipe Guimaraes 8. Filipe Machado 5. Geovane 15. Guilherme Aquino 9. Gustavo Coutinho 77. Iury Castilho 7. Nicolas Careca 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 23. Tiago Coser
45. Arthur Caike 91. Brayann 20. Diego Caito 12. Ezequiel (G) 2. Fabio 5. Freitas G. 15. Garcia E. 7. Jaja 10. Martin Benitez 6. Moraes 8. Rafael Gava 4. Titi
Coaches
Mozart
Vagner Mancini
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Lucas Lovat 🟨,
31', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
59', Vini Paulista ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
65', Martin Benitez 🟨,
68', Welliton ↓, Jaja ↑,
75', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Rafael Gava ↑,
77', Zeca ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
77', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
79', Iury Castilho 🟨,
79', de Pena C. 🟨,
79', Lucas Ribeiro 🟨,
89', Lucas Lovat ↓, Moraes ↑,
89', Marcao Silva ↓, Freitas G. ↑,
89', Anselmo Ramon ↓, Brayann ↑,
90', Freitas G. 🟨,
90+7', Jaja 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Coritiba is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva
(Injury)
Bruno Melo
(Inactive)
Everaldo
(Inactive)
There will not play in Goiás: Tadeu
(Yellow Cards)
Willean Lepo
(Injury)
There are questionable in Coritiba: Josue
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Coritiba - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.74%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.