Match Info
NPL Queensland - Round 11Date: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Wolter Park (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | FQTV |
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Moreton City Excelsior |
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Olympic FC |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.72 |
3.95 |
3.55 |
Watch |
 |
1.74 |
4.3 |
3.84 |
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 |
1.8 |
4.3 |
3.54 |
Watch |
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1.75 |
3.75 |
3.7 |
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1.74 |
4.19 |
3.87 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.71) |
4.1 ↓
(4.23) |
3.7 ↓
(3.92) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Moreton City Excelsior
52.6% | Draw
22.5% | Olympic FC
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreton City Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Olympic FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympic FC than the current prediction. (-2%)Moreton City Excelsior - Olympic FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 16', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 53', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 57', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 80', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 89', 4 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 6).Moreton City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Olympic FC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Moreton City is seen as the favorite.We predict that Moreton City will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Moreton City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Moreton City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Moreton City Excelsior - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.33%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Queensland | | | 07.06.25 | Moreton City Excelsior - Olympic FC | 2:0 | | 02.03.25 | Olympic FC - Moreton City Excelsior | 1:2 | | 25.05.24 | Moreton City Excelsior - Olympic FC | 1:1 | | 25.02.24 | Olympic FC - Moreton City Excelsior | 1:1 |
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