Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 15

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Wolter Park (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Moreton City Excelsior		Wynnum Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	4.40	4.33
	1.52	4.35	4.35
	1.58	4.75	4.70
	1.78	4.24	3.57	Watch
	1.55	4.00	4.40
	1.58	4.66	4.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.84)	4.4 (4.4)	4.3 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreton City Excelsior
57.7%

Draw
20.9%

Wynnum Wolves
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

21.2%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

22.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreton City Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moreton City Excelsior's performance.

Wynnum Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wynnum Wolves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wynnum Wolves than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wynnum Wolves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moreton City Excelsior - Wynnum Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', 0 - 2, ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Moreton City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wynnum Wolves is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wynnum Wolves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Moreton City is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreton City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Moreton City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreton City Excelsior
Australian NPL Queensland
16.06.26	Rochedale Rovers - Moreton City Excelsior	2:5 ✺
05.06.26	Eastern Suburbs - Moreton City Excelsior	0:0 ✺
22.05.26	Moreton City Excelsior - Brisbane City	2:5 ✺
16.05.26	Moreton City Excelsior - Olympic FC	4:3 ✺
09.05.26	Queensland Lions - Moreton City Excelsior	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLWL
- Wynnum Wolves FC
Australian NPL Queensland
16.06.26	Wynnum Wolves - Eastern Suburbs	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Gold Coast United - Wynnum Wolves	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Wynnum Wolves - Brisbane Roar U23	2:1 ✺
22.05.26	Wynnum Wolves - Olympic FC	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Magic United - Wynnum Wolves	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
06.03.26	Wynnum Wolves - Moreton City Excelsior	3:0
09.08.25	Wynnum Wolves - Moreton City Excelsior	0:1
17.05.25	Moreton City Excelsior - Wynnum Wolves	1:1
20.07.24	Moreton City Excelsior - Wynnum Wolves	6:3
20.04.24	Wynnum Wolves - Moreton City Excelsior	0:4

Moreton City Excelsior - Wynnum Wolves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide