Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 20

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Gondomar		Machico

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.05	3.45
	2.08	3	3.71
	2.06	3.2	3.51
	2.08	3.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.4)	3.08 ↑ (3)	3.53 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gondomar
44.2%

Draw
29.8%

Machico
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gondomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gondomar's performance.

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Machico might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gondomar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Machico could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gondomar - Machico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Reis S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 0, Barge G. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gondomar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Gondomar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.02.25	Guarda FC - Gondomar	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Gondomar - Salgueiros 08	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	União Lamas - Gondomar	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Gondomar - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Gondomar - Marítimo B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TTLWT
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.02.25	Machico - Marítimo B	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Cinfães - Machico	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Machico - Coimbrões	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Marco 09 - Machico	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Machico - Camacha	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.10.24	Machico - Gondomar	3:2
12.03.23	Machico - Gondomar	2:0
27.11.22	Gondomar - Machico	3:2

Gondomar - Machico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide