Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 16

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Gondomar		Alpendorada

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.95
	2.37	2.88	3.04
	2.35	2.88	3.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.54)	2.89 ↓ (2.9)	3.02 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gondomar
38.7%

Draw
31.4%

Alpendorada
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

31%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

31.2%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gondomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Gondomar - Alpendorada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Gondomar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alpendorada is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gondomar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Gondomar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.01.25	Gondomar - Marítimo B	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Cinfães - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	Coimbrões - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Gondomar - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Camacha - Gondomar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTTLL
- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.01.25	Alpendorada - Leça	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Marítimo B - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Beira-Mar - Alpendorada	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Alpendorada - Cinfães	0:2 ✺
08.12.24	Alpendorada - Machico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.09.24	Alpendorada - Gondomar	1:0
08.04.23	Gondomar - Alpendorada	3:1
18.12.22	Alpendorada - Gondomar	0:1

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