Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 19

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Guarda FC		Gondomar

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2.27	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.6)	3 ↓ (3.25)	3.3 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarda FC
42.4%

Draw
30.2%

Gondomar
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

27.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

26.2%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarda FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarda FC's form might have worsened.

Gondomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gondomar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda FC than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gondomar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guarda FC - Gondomar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Semedo D. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Guarda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gondomar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Guarda is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guarda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarda FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.25	Marítimo B - Guarda FC	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Guarda FC - Cinfães	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Coimbrões - Guarda FC	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Guarda FC - Marco 09	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Camacha - Guarda FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWWT
- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.25	Gondomar - Salgueiros 08	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	União Lamas - Gondomar	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Gondomar - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Gondomar - Marítimo B	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Cinfães - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.10.24	Gondomar - Guarda FC	1:0

Guarda FC - Gondomar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide