Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 25

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Marco 09		Gondomar

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.75	6.25
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.47	3.55	7.31
	1.53	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)	3.63 ↓ (4.05)	6.39 ↓ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco 09
60.7%

Draw
25.1%

Gondomar
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

22.5%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

21.8%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Gondomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco 09, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Marco 09 - Gondomar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
65', 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Marco is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Marco to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Marco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Marco 09
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.03.25	Marítimo B - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Marco 09 - Cinfães	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Coimbrões - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Alpendorada - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Marco 09 - Camacha	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTTWW
- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.03.25	Gondomar - Camacha	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Régua - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Gondomar - Leça	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Beira-Mar - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Gondomar - Machico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.12.24	Gondomar - Marco 09	0:1
28.01.24	Marco 09 - Gondomar	0:0
17.09.23	Gondomar - Marco 09	3:0

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