Match Info

2. SNL - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Športni park Nova Gorica (Nova Gorica)


	Gorica		Krka

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.55	4.15	Watch
	1.7	3.61	4.09
	1.72	3.52	4.32
	1.7	3.66	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.61)	3.59 ↓ (3.89)	4.14 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
52.9%

Draw
25.2%

Krka
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

23.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

24.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Krka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gorica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Gorica - Krka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 4.

Gorica has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Krka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Gorica is the team to beat.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:12. (average 1.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:3. (average 1.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Gorica
Slovenian 2 SNL
18.10.25	Rudar Velenje - Gorica	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Gorica - Slovan Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Triglav - Gorica	3:0 ✺
26.09.25	Gorica - Brinje-Grosuplje	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Beltinci - Gorica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL
- NK Krka
Slovenian 2 SNL
18.10.25	Krka - Dravinja	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Krka	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Rudar Velenje - Krka	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Krka - Slovan Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Triglav - Krka	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
06.04.25	Krka - Gorica	1:3
21.09.24	Gorica - Krka	1:0
22.03.24	Gorica - Krka	2:0
08.09.23	Krka - Gorica	1:2
27.03.22	Krka - Gorica	2:2
10.09.21	Gorica - Krka	2:0
29.09.19	Gorica - Krka	3:0

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