The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilirija Ljubljana 42.8%
Draw 27.3%
Krka 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
26.9%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
26.2%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilirija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Krka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Ilirija Ljubljana - Krka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilirija won 1.
Ilirija is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Krka has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Krka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ilirija holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Ilirija has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:18 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilirija against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Ilirija
9
4
1
4
15:10
5
13
14
NK Krka
9
2
1
6
9:16
-7
7
Last Results with these Odds
Krka - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.11%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Slovenia
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