Match Info

SLOVENIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 29

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Športni park Nova Gorica (Nova Gorica)

Referee: Matosa M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub


	Gorica		Maribor

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.66
	4.4	3.55	1.62	Watch
	4.79	3.84	1.72
	4.5	3.5	1.67
	4.65	3.84	1.71	Watch
	4.3	3.7	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (4.48)	3.69 ↓ (3.71)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
20.4%

Draw
25%

Maribor
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

24.9%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

24.7%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Gorica aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Gorica - Maribor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Maribor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Prva liga (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gorica won 0.

Recent matches Gorica is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maribor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maribor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Maribor is a favorite.

Last 39 head-to-head matches Gorica won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 30 matches and goals 31-103.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorica won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 13-50.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Gorica
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.03.23	NK Bravo - Gorica	2:1 ✺
16.03.23	Tabor Sežana - Gorica	0:1 ✺
10.03.23	Gorica - Mura	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Celje - Gorica	0:1
26.02.23	Gorica - Domžale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWTWL
- NK Maribor
Club Friendly
25.03.23	Maribor - Lokomotiva Zagreb	5:2 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
18.03.23	Radomlje - Maribor	1:1 ✺
15.03.23	NK Bravo - Maribor	2:3 ✺
11.03.23	Maribor - Tabor Sežana	1:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
08.03.23	Rudar Velenje - Maribor	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
11.12.22	Maribor - Gorica	2:1
02.10.22	Gorica - Maribor	1:4
23.07.22	Maribor - Gorica	3:2
15.05.21	Maribor - Gorica	3:0
06.03.21	Gorica - Maribor	1:1
06.12.20	Maribor - Gorica	3:1
17.10.20	Gorica - Maribor	0:4

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