Match Info

SLOVENIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 26

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday

Location: Športni park Nova Gorica (Nova Gorica)

Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Gorica		Mura

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.15
	2.95	3.15	2.16
	3.34	3.33	2.25
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.3	3.3	2.22	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.57)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.19 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
29%

Draw
28.8%

Mura
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

27.8%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

26.9%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Mura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mura than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Gorica - Mura Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mura will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. SNL and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gorica won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Mura will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Gorica won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 10-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorica won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Gorica
Slovenian PrvaLiga
04.03.23	Celje - Gorica	0:1
26.02.23	Gorica - Domžale	0:2 ✺
22.02.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Gorica	4:3 ✺
18.02.23	Gorica - Koper	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Gorica - Radomlje	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTT
- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
05.03.23	Mura - Maribor	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	NK Bravo - Mura	0:0 ✺
21.02.23	Mura - Tabor Sežana	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Radomlje - Mura	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Celje - Mura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
13.11.22	Mura - Gorica	2:0
02.09.22	Gorica - Mura	0:0
30.04.21	Gorica - Mura	1:5
20.02.21	Mura - Gorica	3:1
24.11.20	Gorica - Mura	0:1
20.09.20	Mura - Gorica	1:0
18.05.19	Mura - Gorica	3:0

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