The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mura 25.3%
Draw 24.6%
Maribor 50.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
24.5%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
23.2%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mura than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maribor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Mura - Maribor Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Mura will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Maribor will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Fermisek Z. (G) 42. Boben M. 5. Jelic I. 24. Komljenovic S. 88. Korosec A. 10. Kouter N. 30. Kurtovic K. 26. Proleta B. 2. Sana F. 17. Trdin K. 16. Turudija L.
98. Gardies T. (G) 3. Bumbic C. 7. Cipot T. 6. Mbondo B. 44. Rekik O. 10. Repas Z. 55. Spanring M. 30. Tetteh B. 4. Viher N. (C) 29. Vizinger D. 18. Zambrano O.
Substitutes
18. Agbevor G. 6. Antolin A. 81. Antonic N. (G) 99. Caks R. 1. Dermastija N. (G) 7. Kasalo N. 23. Kovacic J. 14. Krupic E. 21. Petrovic Z. 9. Rose F. 20. Seckar S.
21. Borys K. 20. Carrero L. F. 23. Furlong J. 43. Handanovic T. (G) 32. Krajnc L. 14. Seri J. 42. Slana F. 2. Soudani El A. 70. Tshipamba I.
Coaches
Slavic D.
Pirih M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Kurtovic K. ⚽, Kouter N. (A),
1', Gardies T. 🟨,
14', Turudija L. ↓, Kovacic J. ↑,
22', Rekik O. 🟨,
36', Trdin K. ↓, Antolin A. ↑,
37', Vizinger D. ↓, Soudani El A. ↑,
45+5', Boben M. 🟨,
45+7', Komljenovic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Zambrano O. ↓, Primc T. ↑,
60', Spanring M. ↓, Kikec T. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Kouter N. ⚽,
67', Kouter N. 🟨,
72', Kouter N. ↓, Kasalo N. ↑,
72', Komljenovic S. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
73', Kurtovic K. ↓, Rose F. ↑,
76', Kovacic J. 🟨,
79', Cipot T. ↓, Tshipamba I. ↑,
79', Repas Z. ↓, Carrero L. F. ↑,
86', Jelic I. 🟨,
89', Soudani El A. 🟨,
90', Korosec A. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Viher N. ⚽,
90+5', Fermisek Z. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mura won 0.
Mura has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Maribor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Mura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Maribor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mura won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:37. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Mura won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).