Match Info

RWANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Gorilla		Etoile de LEst

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Gorilla
42.8%

Draw
31.4%

Etoile de LEst
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

29.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Etoile de LEst has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etoile de LEst than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

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The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

Recent matches Gorilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Etoile de LEst is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gorilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gorilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gorilla FC
Rwanda Premier League
03.11.23	Police - Gorilla	1:0 ✺
27.10.23	Gorilla - Marines	2:3 ✺
22.10.23	Amagaju - Gorilla	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Bugesera - Gorilla	2:2 ✺
10.10.23	Gorilla - Gasogi United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWTT
- Etoile de LEst FC
Rwanda Premier League
05.11.23	Etoile de LEst - Gasogi United	1:0 ✺
27.10.23	Kiyovu Sports - Etoile de LEst	6:1 ✺
22.10.23	Etoile de LEst - Kigali	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Etoile de LEst - Muhazi United	0:1 ✺
11.10.23	Rayon Sports - Etoile de LEst	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTLL

Gorilla - Etoile de LEst