Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Police		Gorilla

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.68	3.05
	2.62	2.29	3.74	Watch
	2.05	2.65	3.55
	2.33	2.85	3.32	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.97)	2.63 ↓ (2.8)	3.37 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police
38.7%

Draw
34.4%

Gorilla
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

32%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.

Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Police - Gorilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 3.

In recent outings, Police has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Police has faced a series of away games on the road.

Police is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Police has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:5 (averaging 1.4:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Police against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:1 goals (averaging 1:0.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gorilla	6	3	2	1	4:2	2	11
13	Police	5	1	1	3	2:5	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police FC Kibungo
Rwanda Premier League
11.10.26	Sunrise - Police	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Police	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Police - Gicumbi	1:2 ✺
Rwanda Super Cup
30.08.26	Kiyovu Sports - Police	1:0 ✺
27.08.26	Rayon Sports - Police	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLW
- Gorilla FC
Rwanda Premier League
09.10.26	Gorilla - Rayon Sports	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Gorilla - Etincelles	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kiyovu Sports - Gorilla	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Gorilla - Al-Merreikh	3:1 ✺
15.05.26	Rayon Sports - Gorilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
01.05.26	Gorilla - Police	1:1
03.01.26	Police - Gorilla	4:0
20.10.24	Police - Gorilla	0:0
03.11.23	Police - Gorilla	1:0
20.01.23	Gorilla - Police	2:3
26.11.22	Police - Gorilla	0:1
25.02.22	Gorilla - Police	1:2

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