The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Neman Grodno 45.7%
Draw 30.8%
Torpedo-BelAZ 23.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.1%
27.8%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
27.2%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neman Grodno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neman Grodno's performance.
Torpedo-BelAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo-BelAZ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo-BelAZ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Neman Grodno - Torpedo BelAZ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Matysyuk N. (G) 55. Girs D. 20. Sadovnichiy I. (C) 22. Kirko I. 8. Pantya Y. 47. Kozlov M. 10. Lisakovich R. 15. Evdokimov O. 88. Savitskiy P. 9. Pushnyakov S. 18. Kravtsov M.
1. Ignatovich S. (G) 13. Zaleskiy A. 3. Chagovets Y. 96. Melko V. 66. Ageev A. 10. Sharkovskiy T. 30. Pobudey V. 6. Premudrov K. (C) 20. Martyanov G. 68. Zhulpa D. 89. Frantsuzov A.
Substitutes
19. Dayneko A. 30. Ednach A. 1. Malievskiy A. (G) 6. Nazarenko A. 7. Ratkovic A. 33. Spataru D. 2. Tonkevich V. 4. Vasiljev A. 24. Yakimov A. 23. Yormie T.
27. Gaevoy M. 11. Lomovitskiy A. 12. Pedro Acacio 9. Petrosyan G. 25. Yurasov T. (G) 28. Yusov D. 15. Zheleznyi R.
Coaches
Kovalevich I.
Baga A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Frantsuzov A. 🟨,
41', Ageev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Frantsuzov A. ↓, Yusov D. ↑,
58', Kravtsov M. ↓, Ratkovic A. ↑,
58', Ageev A. ↓, Lomovitskiy A. ↑,
58', Pushnyakov S. ↓, Spataru D. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Savitskiy P. ⚽, Ratkovic A. (A),
69', Martyanov G. ↓, Gaevoy M. ↑,
69', Sharkovskiy T. ↓, Zheleznyi R. ↑,
79', Premudrov K. ↓, Petrosyan G. ↑,
81', Savitskiy P. ↓, Yakimov A. ↑,
82', Evdokimov O. ↓, Yormie T. ↑,
90+2', Kozlov M. ↓, Vasiljev A. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neman won 2.
Neman is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Torpedo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Neman is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neman won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Neman won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).
Belarus
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Matysyuk N. (G) 
Pantya Y. 
Ratkovic A. 
Spataru D. 
Vasiljev A. 
Yormie T. 
Pedro Acacio 
Petrosyan G. 
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