Match Info

Date: 26 September 2020, Saturday


	Gorodeja		Slavia Mozyr

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.5
	2.4	3.25	2.7
	2.55	3.3	2.55
	2.71	3.33	2.66
	2.45	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.54	3.55	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.81)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	2.6 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorodeja
36.9%

Draw
27.6%

Slavia Mozyr
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.2%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

19.9%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorodeja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Slavia Mozyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorodeja than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gorodeja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slavia Mozyr could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gorodeja - Slavia Mozyr Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 12).

Gorodeja is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Slavia Mozyr is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gorodeja could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gorodeja won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorodeja won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gorodeja
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.09.20	Gorodeja - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:3 ✺
11.09.20	Minsk - Gorodeja	3:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
29.08.20	Naftan - Gorodeja	0:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.08.20	Gorodeja - Rukh Brest	1:3 ✺
08.08.20	BATE Borisov - Gorodeja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Slavia Mozyr
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
20.09.20	Slavia Mozyr - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	1:0 ✺
13.09.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - Slavia Mozyr	4:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
29.08.20	Volna Pinsk - Slavia Mozyr	0:4 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.08.20	Slavia Mozyr - Vitebsk	1:1 ✺
01.08.20	Slavia Mozyr - Isloch Minsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.05.20	Slavia Mozyr - Gorodeja	1:1
29.09.19	Slavia Mozyr - Gorodeja	0:1
17.05.19	Gorodeja - Slavia Mozyr	1:0
05.08.17	Gorodeja - Slavia Mozyr	0:0
08.04.17	Slavia Mozyr - Gorodeja	1:0
Club Friendly
25.02.17	Gorodeja - Slavia Mozyr	1:0
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
07.11.16	Slavia Mozyr - Gorodeja	3:3

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