Match Info

Belarusian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Volna Stadium (Pinsk)


	Volna Pinsk		Slavia Mozyr

	1	X	2
	7.00	4.80	1.32
	7.10	4.75	1.30
	7.49	4.99	1.34	Watch
	8.40	5.60	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.5 ↑ (7.37)	5.04 ↑ (4.8)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volna Pinsk
12.1%

Draw
18%

Slavia Mozyr
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

19.1%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

14%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volna Pinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Slavia Mozyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Pinsk than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slavia Mozyr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Letsko S. (G) 10. Grechikha M. 15. Kibuk V. (C) 91. Matyash D. 9. Nizhnik D. 97. Oreshkevich J. 17. Polkhovskiy K. 2. Prokopchuk D. 7. Radzhabov A. 21. Susha A. 8. Vlasov A.	1. Veretynskiy K. (G) 11. Antilevskiy A. 27. Chikida P. (C) 49. Dzhigero A. 14. Fedorenko D. 6. Kuznetsov Y. 22. Lukashov A. 44. Lutsevich T. 18. Melnikov N. 31. Solovey A. 88. Yashin D.
Substitutes
16. Kirikovich S. (G) 19. Kovalevich K. 25. Kovsh K. 4. Kuradovets A. 55. Lesnyak D. 77. Nikoporenok E. 22. Samuylik A. 33. Sedro I. 14. Stroychuk A. 11. Tkachik D.	16. Abramovich E. (G) 9. Batyshchev O. 17. Chernook K. 19. Derzhinskiy A. 30. Likhtin V. 3. Ngatchou R. 4. Rashchenya I. 23. Shelikov D. (G) 21. Shevchenko E. 20. Verenich I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
15', 0 - 1, Solovey A. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Lukashov A. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Melnikov N. 🟨,
38', 0 - 3, Lutsevich T. ⚽,
44', 0 - 4, Solovey A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Lutsevich T. ↓, Shevchenko E. ↑,
59', Dzhigero A. ↓, Chernook K. ↑,
64', Oreshkevich J. ↓, Kovsh K. ↑,
66', 0 - 5, Solovey A. ⚽,
72', Yashin D. 🟨,
75', Grechikha M. ↓, Stroychuk A. ↑,
75', Matyash D. ↓, Samuylik A. ↑,
78', Antilevskiy A. ↓, Derzhinskiy A. ↑,
78', Fedorenko D. ↓, Ngatchou R. ↑,
81', Batyshchev O. 🟨,

Preview

Volna Pinsk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Slavia Mozyr is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Slavia Mozyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Slavia Mozyr is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Volna Pinsk will win today's game, with odds of 7.37.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Volna Pinsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Volna Pinsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volna Pinsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.07.26	Volna Pinsk - Soligorsk	2:4 ✺
05.07.26	Smorgon - Volna Pinsk	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Volna Pinsk - BumProm Gomel	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	Minsk 2 - Volna Pinsk	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Volna Pinsk - Osipovichi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW
- Slavia Mozyr
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.07.26	Dinamo Brest - Slavia Mozyr	4:1 ✺
01.07.26	Slavia Mozyr - ML Vitebsk	2:4 ✺
26.06.26	Baranovichi - Slavia Mozyr	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Slavia Mozyr - Isloch Minsk	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Torpedo-BelAZ - Slavia Mozyr	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Cup
22.06.21	Volna Pinsk - Slavia Mozyr	0:1
29.08.20	Volna Pinsk - Slavia Mozyr	0:4
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
15.09.18	Slavia Mozyr - Volna Pinsk	2:0
20.05.18	Volna Pinsk - Slavia Mozyr	0:1

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