Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Gosport Borough		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3
	2.04	3.91	3.08	Watch
	2	3.58	3.1
	2.12	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.81)	3.65 ↓ (3.9)	3.05 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gosport Borough
44.9%

Draw
25.1%

Havant & Waterlooville
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

23.3%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

22.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gosport Borough's form might have worsened.

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gosport Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Gosport Borough - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Morrison J. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Wilson B. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Seager R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
75', 0 - 3, Seager R. (Penalty Awarded),
89', 0 - 4, Seager R. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gosport won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Havant may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Havant has had a series of home games.

Gosport might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Gosport won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gosport won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
20.12.25	Farnham Town - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Gosport Borough - Hanwell Town	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Gosport Borough - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	2:2 ✺
26.11.25	Gosport Borough - Weymouth	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWTW
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
20.12.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Wimborne Town	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Yate Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Poole Town	0:3 ✺
26.11.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Chertsey Town	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
21.04.25	Gosport Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2
26.12.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Gosport Borough	3:1
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Havant & Waterlooville - Gosport Borough	3:1
08.09.20	Gosport Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0
English National League South
09.02.16	Havant & Waterlooville - Gosport Borough	1:3
26.12.15	Gosport Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1
01.01.15	Gosport Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	3:1

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