Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 20

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Dorchester Town		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.45	2.22
	2.69	3.57	2.31
	3.11	3.76	2.04	Watch
	2.62	3.48	2.25
	2.8	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.11)	3.57 ↓ (3.76)	2.2 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
32.9%

Draw
25.6%

Gosport Borough
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

24.7%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

23.6%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gosport Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
90+6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 0.

Dorchester is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gosport is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gosport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 4 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorchester won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Gosport Borough - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.49%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
26.11.25	Taunton Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Evesham United - Dorchester Town	4:1 ✺
18.11.25	Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Dover Athletic - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Dorchester Town - Chertsey Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLT
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
26.11.25	Gosport Borough - Weymouth	4:3 ✺
22.11.25	Gosport Borough - Tiverton Town	3:2 ✺
18.11.25	Wimborne Town - Gosport Borough	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Taunton Town - Gosport Borough	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Poole Town - Gosport Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
08.03.25	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	0:2
13.11.24	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2
10.02.24	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	0:3
11.10.23	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2
04.03.23	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	2:2
22.10.22	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2
11.12.21	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	1:1

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