Match Info

NORTH MACEDONIA: 1. MFL - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: City Stadium Shtip (Shtip)


	Gostivar		Besa Dobërdoll

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	5.5
	1.49	3.9	5.8
	1.48	3.75	6.09
				Watch
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.46	3.92	6.28
	1.49	3.9	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.87)	3.8 ↑ (3.25)	5.75 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gostivar
60.5%

Draw
23.8%

Besa Dobërdoll
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.1%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gostivar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gostivar's performance.

Besa Dobërdoll has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Besa Dobërdoll might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gostivar than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gostivar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besa Dobërdoll than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Besa Dobërdoll could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Gostivar - Besa Dobërdoll Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gostivar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ersu E. (G) 97. Aldair 8. Aydogan O. 22. Diatta A. 14. Dirar N. 15. Hamzikj M. 90. Husmani Z. 21. Mbende E. 26. Potuk A. 17. Simonovski M. 4. Zuka F.	35. Zahov K. (G) 23. Aleksovski F. 5. Alimi A. 20. Fetai I. 4. Ljamalari A. 88. Nazifi Z. 3. Rexhepi A. 8. Selmani R. 25. Siljanovski G. 90. Talovic D. 21. Velija B.
Substitutes
6. Ajdini R. 88. Cheshmedjiev K. 77. Dervishi E. 11. Elmas M. 33. Glisic D. 10. Ivanovski I. 5. Kirovski A. 9. Mashike E. 16. Murati M. 24. Trajcevski D. 1. Vasilev V. (G)	9. Ademi I. 81. Beljulji M. 24. Draganovic A. 10. Esati D. 7. Gashi G. 77. Nuredini J. 22. Rakipi O. 1. Siljanovski D. (G) 19. Skenderi E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, Ivanovski I. ⚽,
64', 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Skenderi E. ⚽,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).

Gostivar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Besa Dobërdoll is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gostivar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gostivar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gostivar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Gostivar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gostivar
North Macedonian Cup
02.10.24	Gostivar - Pobeda	3:1 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
29.09.24	Struga - Gostivar	2:2 ✺
25.09.24	Gostivar - Shkendija Tetovo	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Sileks - Gostivar	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Gostivar - Vardar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34 WTWWT
- Besa Dobërdoll
North Macedonian 1 MFL
29.09.24	Besa Dobërdoll - Voska Sport	1:0 ✺
25.09.24	Shkupi - Besa Dobërdoll	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Besa Dobërdoll - Pelister	2:3 ✺
15.09.24	AP Brera Strumica - Besa Dobërdoll	3:2 ✺
25.08.24	Besa Dobërdoll - Tikveš	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 2 MFL
04.03.23	Gostivar - Besa Dobërdoll	1:0
03.09.22	Besa Dobërdoll - Gostivar	1:1
20.03.22	Gostivar - Besa Dobërdoll	0:0

Gostivar - Besa Dobërdoll: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide