Match Info

NORTH MACEDONIA: 1. MFL - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: City Stadium Shtip (Shtip)


	Gostivar		Vardar

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.61	3.45	5.2
	1.63	3.15	5.68
	1.64	3.38	5.27
	1.61	3.45	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	3.41 ↑ (3.32)	5.37 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gostivar
56.5%

Draw
26.6%

Vardar
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

27.1%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

25.2%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gostivar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Vardar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gostivar than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Gostivar - Vardar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ersu E. (G) 97. Aldair 8. Aydogan O. 88. Cheshmedjiev K. 14. Dirar N. 33. Glisic D. 15. Hamzikj M. 90. Husmani Z. 21. Mbende E. 26. Potuk A. (C) 17. Simonovski M.	87. Gacevski F. (G) 88. Bosancic N. 2. Cosic D. 14. Cvetkov G. 11. Dianessy D. 23. Duranski F. 90. Mecinovic J. 8. Micevski D. (C) 9. Omeragikj A. 30. Sharkoski N. 10. Zakaric G.
Substitutes
6. Ajdini R. 77. Dervishi E. 22. Diatta A. 29. Djurdjevic F. 30. Gjorgjievski K. 10. Ivanovski I. 5. Kirovski A. 9. Mashike E. 16. Murati M. 1. Vasilev V. (G) 4. Zuka F.	7. Dongmo D. 16. Doshev G. 25. Gjurkovski A. 21. Jonus R. 3. Kim S. 19. Kostov M. 18. Mishkovski N. 20. Nikolovski K. 22. Velkovski D. 1. Velkovski M. (G) 17. Zdravkovski O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Aldair ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 1 - 1, Bosancic N. ⚽,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gostivar won 2.

Gostivar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vardar is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gostivar is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gostivar to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gostivar won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gostivar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gostivar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
31.08.24	Tikveš - Gostivar	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Voska Sport - Gostivar	0:2 ✺
18.08.24	Gostivar - Shkupi	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	Pelister - Gostivar	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.24	Gostivar - Tikveš	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWWTW
- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
31.08.24	Vardar - Voska Sport	1:3 ✺
25.08.24	Shkupi - Vardar	3:0 ✺
18.08.24	Vardar - Pelister	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	AP Brera Strumica - Vardar	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Swansea City - Vardar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
10.03.24	Gostivar - Vardar	0:0
17.02.24	Gostivar - Vardar	1:1
24.09.23	Vardar - Gostivar	0:2
North Macedonian 2 MFL
14.04.23	Vardar - Gostivar	0:0
23.10.22	Gostivar - Vardar	1:0
09.04.22	Gostivar - Vardar	2:1
North Macedonian 1 MFL
05.04.14	Gostivar - Vardar	0:2

Gostivar - Vardar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide