Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 18

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Gouveia		Fontinhas

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Gouveia
43.9%

Draw
30.2%

Fontinhas
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

32.3%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gouveia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gouveia's performance.

Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fontinhas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

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In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Gouveia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fontinhas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gouveia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gouveia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.01.24	União de Tomar - Gouveia	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Gouveia - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Mortágua - Gouveia	3:2 ✺
07.01.24	Gouveia - União de Santarém	1:4 ✺
17.12.23	Gouveia - Marinhense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL
- GD Fontinhas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.01.24	Fontinhas - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	União de Coimbra - Fontinhas	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Fontinhas - SC Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Rabo de Peixe - Fontinhas	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	União de Tomar - Fontinhas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLLWW

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.10.23	Fontinhas - Gouveia	2:0

Gouveia - Fontinhas