Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 13

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Gouveia		Marinhense

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Gouveia
23.3%

Draw
28.4%

Marinhense
48.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.2%

29.6%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

29.5%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gouveia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marinhense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marinhense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Marinhense will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gouveia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.12.23	Peniche - Gouveia	0:3 ✺
03.12.23	Gouveia - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Gouveia - Rabo de Peixe	4:1 ✺
12.11.23	Gouveia - Sertanense	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Vitória de Sernache - Gouveia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 WTWLT
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.12.23	Marinhense - Vitória de Sernache	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	União de Coimbra - Marinhense	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Marinhense - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Rabo de Peixe - Marinhense	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	União de Tomar - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWTL

Gouveia - Marinhense