Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Marinhense		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.65	6.7
	1.36	4.01	7.73
	1.4	4.03	7.63	Watch
	1.4	3.8	6.5
	1.57	3.58	6.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)	3.81 ↑ (3.7)	6.94 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marinhense
63.2%

Draw
23.8%

SC Lusitânia
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

24.8%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

23.8%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Marinhense - SC Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

SC Lusitânia is Relegated to

Marinhense is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

SC Lusitânia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Marinhense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Marinhense has had a series of away games.

In this match, Marinhense is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.03.26	Mortágua - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	União da Serra - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Marinhense - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Os Marialvas - Marinhense	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Eléctrico - Marinhense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTL
- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
22.03.26	Lajense - SC Lusitânia	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	SC Lusitânia - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	SB Castelo Branco - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	SC Lusitânia - Eléctrico	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Vitória de Sernache - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.12.25	SC Lusitânia - Marinhense	0:0
09.03.24	SC Lusitânia - Marinhense	2:0
12.11.23	Marinhense - SC Lusitânia	2:0

Marinhense - SC Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide