Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 11

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Gouveia		SB Castelo Branco

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Gouveia
25.4%

Draw
30.4%

SB Castelo Branco
44.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.7%

29.1%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

28.3%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gouveia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Recent matches Gouveia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SB Castelo Branco is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gouveia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

SB Castelo Branco will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gouveia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
19.11.23	Gouveia - Rabo de Peixe	4:1 ✺
12.11.23	Gouveia - Sertanense	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Vitória de Sernache - Gouveia	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	SC Lusitânia - Gouveia	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Gouveia - União de Coimbra	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLTTL
- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.11.23	SB Castelo Branco - Vitória de Sernache	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	União de Coimbra - SB Castelo Branco	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	SB Castelo Branco - SC Lusitânia	4:1 ✺
28.10.23	Rabo de Peixe - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
08.10.23	SB Castelo Branco - Fontinhas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWTW

Gouveia - SB Castelo Branco