Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal Stadium Farvão (Gouveia)


	Gouveia		Resende

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.2	1.72
	5.33	3.52	1.61	Watch
	4.8	2.9	1.73
	5.5	3.44	1.59
	4.75	3.2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (4.23)	3.25 ↓ (3.27)	1.67 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gouveia
18.1%

Draw
27.8%

Resende
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

27.6%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

27.9%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gouveia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Gouveia - Resende Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Gouveia has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Resende has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Gouveia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Resende is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gouveia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Gouveia - the odds 4.23 are the expected chance of winning is 21.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gouveia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.01.26	Salgueiros 08 - Gouveia	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Beira-Mar - Gouveia	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Gouveia - Anadia	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Vila Meã - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	União Lamas - Gouveia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTLLL
- GD Resende
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.01.26	Resende - União Lamas	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Resende - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Cinfães - Resende	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Resende - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Leça - Resende	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.08.25	Resende - Gouveia	2:1

Gouveia - Resende: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide