Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 10

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube (Leca da Palmeira)


	Leça		Resende

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.75	7.3
	1.33	4.37	7.73
	1.50	3.83	6.05	Watch
	1.3	4.55	9.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.46)	4.38 ↑ (3.75)	7.55 ↑ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
67%

Draw
20.9%

Resende
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23.9%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

22.6%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leça's performance.

Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Leça - Resende Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Leça is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Resende has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Resende may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Leça is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Leça will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leça won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Leça won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.11.25	Vila Real - Leça	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Leça - Beira-Mar	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Anadia - Leça	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Leça - Gouveia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWWW
- GD Resende
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.11.25	Resende - Vila Real	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Rebordosa - Resende	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Resende - Aparecida	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Lusitânia - Resende	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.10.25	Resende - Vila Meã	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.01.23	Leça - Resende	0:1

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