Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 13

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Fornelos (Resende)


	Resende		Alpendorada

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.05	1.95
	3.68	2.96	2.07	Watch
	3.6	2.8	2.05
	3.81	3.04	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (3.91)	2.96 ↓ (3.2)	2.01 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resende
24.5%

Draw
30.5%

Alpendorada
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

28.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

28.3%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Resende - Alpendorada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Resende has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alpendorada has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alpendorada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alpendorada is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Resende won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Resende won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Resende
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.12.25	Cinfães - Resende	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Resende - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Leça - Resende	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Resende - Vila Real	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Rebordosa - Resende	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTL
- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.12.25	Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Beira-Mar - Alpendorada	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Alpendorada - Anadia	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Alpendorada - Casa Pia	0:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.11.25	Gouveia - Alpendorada	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Alpendorada - Resende	2:0
27.11.22	Resende - Alpendorada	0:3

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