Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 20

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Gouveia		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.4	1.61
	5	3.39	1.59
	5.48	3.47	1.65
	5.42	3.44	1.57
	5.4	3.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↓ (5.56)	3.44 ↓ (3.46)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gouveia
17.3%

Draw
26.3%

SC Lusitânia
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

26.8%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

26.2%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gouveia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Gouveia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SC Lusitânia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gouveia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match SC Lusitânia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gouveia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gouveia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.02.24	Rabo de Peixe - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Gouveia - Fontinhas	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	União de Tomar - Gouveia	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Gouveia - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Mortágua - Gouveia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLL
- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.02.24	SC Lusitânia - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	SC Lusitânia - Vitória de Sernache	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	União de Coimbra - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Sertanense - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	SC Lusitânia - Rabo de Peixe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.10.23	SC Lusitânia - Gouveia	0:0

Gouveia - SC Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide