Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 13

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	SC Lusitânia		Alverca B

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.25	5
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.63	3.19	5.09
	1.65	3.38	5.88
	1.63	3.32	5.52
	1.68	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.4)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	5.25 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
55%

Draw
27.6%

Alverca B
17.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.2%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SC Lusitânia's performance.

Alverca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alverca B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SC Lusitânia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alverca B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

SC Lusitânia - Alverca B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alverca B will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches SC Lusitânia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alverca B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SC Lusitânia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.02.24	SC Lusitânia - Vitória de Sernache	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	União de Coimbra - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Sertanense - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	SC Lusitânia - Rabo de Peixe	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Fontinhas - SC Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTWW
- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.02.24	Alverca B - Marinhense	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Peniche - Alverca B	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Alverca B - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Gouveia - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Alverca B - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL

SC Lusitânia - Alverca B

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

SC Lusitânia - Alverca B Predictions

Preview

Form

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