Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Goytacaz		Duque de Caxias

	1	X	2
	3.10	2.65	2.30
	3.05	2.82	2.28
	3.11	2.65	2.42
	2.73	2.88	2.63
	3.05	2.60	2.35
	2.63	3.20	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (2.98)	2.8 ↓ (3.24)	2.43 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goytacaz
30.6%

Draw
32.2%

Duque de Caxias
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

28.1%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Goytacaz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Goytacaz - Duque de Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th and 2nd in the Promotion - Carioca B1 Playoffs - Semi - finals).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Duque de Caxias holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Goytacaz has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Goytacaz against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Goytacaz	5	3	1	1	5:4	1	10
3	Duque de Caxias	5	3	0	2	9:5	4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goytacaz FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
26.09.26	Nova Cidade - Goytacaz	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Goytacaz - Petrópolis	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Serrano FC - Goytacaz	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Goytacaz - Macaé	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
17.06.26	Goytacaz - America RJ	America RJ Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLTW?
- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Carioca B1
26.09.26	Duque de Caxias - Niteroiense	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	São Cristóvão - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Carapebus Campos - Duque de Caxias	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Duque de Caxias - Nova Cidade	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
23.06.26	Olaria - Duque de Caxias	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
21.11.20	Goytacaz - Duque de Caxias	3:1

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