Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 4

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Duque de Caxias		Niteroiense

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.75	3.25
	2.00	2.90	3.50
	2.30	2.78	3.16
	2.3	2.89	3.21
	2.25	2.75	3.10
	2.23	2.92	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2)	2.83 ↓ (2.9)	3.23 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duque de Caxias
40.5%

Draw
31.7%

Niteroiense
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

30.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Niteroiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Duque de Caxias - Niteroiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Carioca B1 PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Carioca B1 PlayoffsSemi~finals)).

Duque de Caxias could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Duque de Caxias is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Duque de Caxias has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Niteroiense	5	4	1	0	7:1	6	13
3	Duque de Caxias	5	3	0	2	9:5	4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Carioca B1
19.09.26	São Cristóvão - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Carapebus Campos - Duque de Caxias	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Duque de Caxias - Nova Cidade	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
23.06.26	Olaria - Duque de Caxias	4:0 ✺
17.06.26	Duque de Caxias - Olaria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL
- Niteroiense FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
19.09.26	Niteroiense - Nova Cidade	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Petrópolis - Niteroiense	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Niteroiense - Serrano FC	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Niteroiense - Paduano	5:1 ✺
05.11.25	Niteroiense - Duque de Caxias	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
05.11.25	Niteroiense - Duque de Caxias	0:0

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