Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 1

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Duque de Caxias		Nova Cidade

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.10	4.00
	1.80	2.95	4.30
	1.82	3.17	3.93
	1.74	3.01	5.36
	1.80	3.10	3.85
	1.78	3.14	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.04)	3.08 ↑ (3)	4.33 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duque de Caxias
50.1%

Draw
29.2%

Nova Cidade
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duque de Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Duque de Caxias's performance.

Nova Cidade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Duque de Caxias - Nova Cidade Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Duque de Caxias (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90', 🟥,
90+7', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Duque de Caxias might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Duque de Caxias won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Duque de Caxias won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Duque de Caxias	5	3	0	2	9:5	4	9
10	Nova Cidade	5	0	2	3	3:8	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Copa Rio
23.06.26	Olaria - Duque de Caxias	4:0 ✺
17.06.26	Duque de Caxias - Olaria	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Carioca B1
22.11.25	Bonsucesso - Duque de Caxias	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Duque de Caxias - Bonsucesso	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Carapebus Campos - Duque de Caxias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWW
- EC Nova Cidade
Brazilian Carioca B1
08.11.25	Nova Cidade - Friburguense	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	Nova Cidade - Campo Grande	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Duque de Caxias - Nova Cidade	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Bonsucesso - Nova Cidade	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Nova Cidade - Artsul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
01.11.25	Duque de Caxias - Nova Cidade	2:2
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
03.10.20	Duque de Caxias - Nova Cidade	1:0

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