Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 11

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday


	Goytre United		Pontardawe Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.75	2.6
	2.23	3.62	2.58
	2.23	3.62	2.58
	2.21	3.84	2.57
	2.21	3.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.41)	3.72 ↑ (3.57)	2.58 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goytre United
40.6%

Draw
24.3%

Pontardawe Town
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

24.6%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

23.8%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goytre United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Pontardawe Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pontardawe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Goytre United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Goytre United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
17.11.23	Goytre United - Carmarthen Town	0:1 ✺
10.11.23	Goytre United - Abergavenny Town	3:2 ✺
06.10.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Goytre United	3:2 ✺
30.09.23	Goytre United - Cambrian United	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	Ammanford - Goytre United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWLWW
- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
17.11.23	Abergavenny Town - Pontardawe Town	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Pontardawe Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:4 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
14.10.23	Aberystwyth Town - Pontardawe Town	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
07.10.23	Cambrian United - Pontardawe Town	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Pontardawe Town - Ammanford	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
18.02.23	Pontardawe Town - Goytre United	4:0
18.11.22	Goytre United - Pontardawe Town	0:1

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