Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 13

Date: 17 November 2023, Friday


	Abergavenny Town		Pontardawe Town

	1	X	2
	3.3	4	1.83
	3.25	4.16	1.77
	3.25	4.16	1.78
	3.42	4.05	1.78
	3.2	3.95	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.5)	4.06 ↑ (3.75)	1.8 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abergavenny Town
27.5%

Draw
22.2%

Pontardawe Town
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

24%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

23.7%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abergavenny Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abergavenny Town's form might have worsened.

Pontardawe Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pontardawe Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abergavenny Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pontardawe Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Abergavenny Town has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pontardawe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pontardawe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pontardawe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Abergavenny Town won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Abergavenny Town won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abergavenny Town
Welsh Cymru South
10.11.23	Goytre United - Abergavenny Town	3:2 ✺
03.11.23	Taffs Well AFC - Abergavenny Town	3:1 ✺
27.10.23	Abergavenny Town - Taffs Well AFC	2:4 ✺
06.10.23	Abergavenny Town - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Abergavenny Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
21.10.23	Pontardawe Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:4 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
14.10.23	Aberystwyth Town - Pontardawe Town	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
07.10.23	Cambrian United - Pontardawe Town	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Pontardawe Town - Ammanford	1:3 ✺
22.09.23	Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
03.03.23	Abergavenny Town - Pontardawe Town	2:0

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