Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday


	Ammanford		Goytre United

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.85	3
	1.95	3.81	2.91
				Watch
	1.97	3.85	3.01
	1.97	3.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.32)	3.84 ↑ (3.65)	2.98 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
46.1%

Draw
23.6%

Goytre United
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

24.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

24.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ammanford's performance.

Goytre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goytre United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ammanford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Ammanford - Goytre United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Reed L. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Thomas C. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Watts K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 3 - 1, Davies R. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
04.10.24	Cambrian United - Ammanford	3:2 ✺
27.09.24	Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Llantwit Major - Ammanford	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Ammanford	4:0 ✺
23.08.24	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
05.10.24	Llantwit Major - Goytre United	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	0:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
17.09.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Goytre United	9:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
14.09.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Goytre United	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Goytre United - Carmarthen Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
10.02.24	Goytre United - Ammanford	2:6
22.09.23	Ammanford - Goytre United	0:1
15.04.23	Goytre United - Ammanford	5:0
30.09.22	Ammanford - Goytre United	2:3
28.01.22	Ammanford - Goytre United	0:1
07.02.20	Goytre United - Ammanford	2:1
04.10.19	Ammanford - Goytre United	2:1

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