The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gozzano 37.5%
Draw 29.6%
Casale 32.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
29.8%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
31.2%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gozzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Casale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casale than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Gozzano - Casale Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gozzano won 2.
Gozzano is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Casale is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Gozzano won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Gozzano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.