The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gozzano 37%
Draw 32.1%
Chisola 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
29.4%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
28.8%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gozzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Chisola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chisola than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Gozzano - Chisola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Romairone A. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Sarpa C. ⚽,
10', 2 - 1, Favale D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 2, Cavallotti N. ⚽,
68', 3 - 2, Sangiorgio L. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 2.
Gozzano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chisola is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gozzano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Gozzano
6
3
1
2
8:7
1
10
9
Chisola
6
2
2
2
9:7
2
8
Last Results with these Odds
Gozzano - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.67%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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