The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gozzano 25.5%
Draw 26.4%
Chisola 48.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.6%
26.9%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
26.4%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gozzano's form might have worsened.
Chisola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chisola's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chisola than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Gozzano - Chisola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Brusaca F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 0 - 2, ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, ⚽,
81', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 4th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group A Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 3.
Gozzano has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Chisola is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Gozzano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Chisola is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Gozzano has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gozzano against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Chisola
9
5
2
2
19:11
8
17
13
Gozzano
8
3
1
4
10:14
-4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Gozzano - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.56%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Chisola - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.53%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.