Match Info

Serie B - Round 21

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte)

Referee: Deretti C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.20	5.00	Watch
	1.88	3.00	4.33
	1.97	2.95	4.40	Watch
	1.91	3.22	4.83
	2.03	3.04	4.14	Watch
	1.86	3.20	4.85
	1.82	3.17	4.95	Watch
	1.89	3.10	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.03)	3.11 ↑ (3.05)	4.61 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
49.5%

Draw
30.2%

Juventude
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

30.2%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

30.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Novorizontino (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jordi (G) 22. Ivan Alvarino 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 4. Patrick 41. Reidiney 17. Matheus Bianqui 6. Luis Oyama 66. Maykon Jesus 10. Romulo 11. Robson 8. Ortiz C.	93. Jandrei (G) 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 3. Titi (C) 47. Marcos Paulo 13. Aderlan 8. Lucas Mineiro 75. Rai Silva 30. Patryck 11. Fabio Lima 25. Alisson Safira 10. MP
Substitutes
9. Carlao 3. Carlinhos 31. Cesar Augusto (G) 27. Diego Mathias 77. Helio Borges 50. Juninho 18. Leo Naldi 24. Lora J. 28. Marlon 30. Nicolas Careca 5. Sander 15. Tavinho	9. Alan Kardec 18. Amarilla L. 17. Castro M. 16. Diogo Barbosa 29. Gabriel Pires 5. Luan Martins 72. Lucas Alves 7. Pablo Roberto 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 6. Wadson
Coaches
Moreira E.	Mauricio Barbieri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Enderson Moreira 🟨,
33', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
35', Titi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Patryck ↓, Diogo Barbosa ↑,
46', Fabio Lima ↓, Amarilla L. ↑,
46', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Luan Martins ↑,
46', Ortiz C. ↓, Tavinho ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Rai Silva ⚽,
59', Aderlan 🟨,
61', Gabriel Pinheiro 🟨,
61', Maykon Jesus ↓, Carlao ↑,
61', Matheus Bianqui ↓, Juninho ↑,
68', Rai Silva ↓, Gabriel Pires ↑,
71', Marcos Paulo ↓, Wadson ↑,
80', Eduardo Brock ↓, Sander ↑,
82', Reidiney ↓, Lora J. ↑,
83', Luan Martins 🟨,
90+5', Patrick 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Novorizontino is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Lucas Pereira (Inactive)

There will not play in Juventude: Allanzinho (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Novorizontino: Arthur Barbosa (Inactive) Hector Bianchi (Inactive) Renato Palm (Inactive)

There are questionable in Juventude: Alan Ruschel (Muscle Injury) Mandaca (Inactive) Messias (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
4	Novorizontino	31	15	9	7	52:27	25	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
26.07.26	Londrina - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:4 ✺
21.07.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Fortaleza - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW
- EC Juventude
Copa do Brasil
04.08.26	Juventude - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.07.26	Juventude - Avaí	1:0 ✺
23.07.26	Botafogo SP - Juventude	4:2 ✺
17.07.26	Juventude - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
31.03.26	Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
28.03.26	Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2
Brazilian Serie B
02.08.23	Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0
22.04.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Juventude	1:0

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