Match Info

Serie B - Round 19

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Mendonca J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Botafogo SP		Juventude

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.82	2.85	Watch
	2.40	2.87	3.00
	2.62	2.82	2.88	Watch
	2.69	2.96	3.14
	2.67	2.88	2.93	Watch
	2.6	2.9	3
	2.82	2.86	2.74	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.55)	2.87 ↓ (3.05)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
35.5%

Draw
32.6%

Juventude
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

30.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

31.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	54.5%	27.3%

Botafogo SP - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 31. Pedro Henrique 3. Ericson 4. Vilar 6. Patrick Brey (C) 18. Arthur Caike 30. Ze Hugo 8. Everton Morelli 10. Rafael Gava 20. Yuri Felipe 23. Wesley Santos	93. Jandrei (G) 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 47. Marcos Paulo 2. Rai Ramos 5. Luan Martins 8. Lucas Mineiro 30. Patryck 11. Fabio Lima 10. MP 25. Alisson Safira
Substitutes
26. Felipe Vieira 22. Gabriel Inocencio 17. Guilherme Queiroz 34. Hebert 11. Jefferson Nem 12. Jordan (G) 7. Kelvin 5. Leandro Maciel 19. Marcio Maranhao 28. Marco Antonio 29. Thiago Moraes 13. Wallace	9. Alan Kardec 17. Castro M. 36. Costa K. 16. Diogo Barbosa 72. Lucas Alves 26. Ly I. 22. Nathan Santos 7. Pablo Roberto 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 3. Titi 6. Wadson
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Mauricio Barbieri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Vilar ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Wesley Santos ⚽,
35', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
44', Yuri Felipe 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Rai Ramos ↓, Nathan Santos ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Arthur Caike ⚽,
55', 3 - 1, Patryck ⚽, Marcos Paulo (A),
58', 4 - 1, Wesley Santos ⚽, Rafael Gava (A),
59', Fabio Lima ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
60', Luan Martins ↓, Pablo Roberto ↑,
60', Arthur Caike ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
65', Yuri Felipe 🟨,
70', 4 - 2, Pablo Roberto ⚽,
71', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Castro M. ↑,
73', Wesley Santos ↓, Wallace ↑,
73', Rafael Gava ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
74', Pedro Henrique ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
78', Patryck ↓, Diogo Barbosa ↑,
85', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Leandro Maciel ↑,
90+5', Patrick Brey 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1.

Recent performances by Botafogo SP have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juventude is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Arthur Caike (Inactive) Carlao (Knee Injury) Darlan (Injury) Erik Rebello (Inactive) Gabriel Inocencio (Inactive) Jonathan (Injury) Matheus Sales (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Juventude: Aderlan (Inactive) Amarilla L. (Inactive) Diogo Barbosa (Injury) Messias (Yellow Cards) Rai Silva (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Juventude: Alan Ruschel (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo SP - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.41%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Juventude - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.16%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
17.07.26	Londrina - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
10.07.26	Sport Recife - Botafogo SP	3:3 ✺
06.07.26	Botafogo SP - Avaí	3:1 ✺
30.06.26	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Ceará - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTWLW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
17.07.26	Juventude - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Juventude - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Juventude	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Juventude - Ceará	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	São Bernardo - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.07.23	Botafogo SP - Juventude	0:2
15.04.23	Juventude - Botafogo SP	1:2
02.12.20	Botafogo SP - Juventude	1:1
29.08.20	Juventude - Botafogo SP	0:0
Brazilian Serie C
28.08.16	Juventude - Botafogo SP	0:0
26.06.16	Botafogo SP - Juventude	1:1

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