Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Grêmio Novorizontino U20		Botafogo SP U20

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.2	5
	1.5	4.15	4.85
	1.54	3.98	4.8
	1.60	3.97	4.79	Watch
	1.51	3.98	5.38
	1.48	4.15	4.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	4.07 ↓ (4.35)	4.95 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino U20
59.6%

Draw
22.2%

Botafogo SP U20
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

20.7%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Botafogo SP U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino U20 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Botafogo SP U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Iago ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Mateus Mineiro ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 0 - 3, ⚽,
83', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.

In recent matches, Novorizontino U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Botafogo SP U20 is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Botafogo SP U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Novorizontino U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
07.09.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - CA Juventus U20	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	4:2 ✺
25.07.25	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - São José-SP U20	3:1 ✺
18.07.25	Velo Clube U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWW
- Botafogo SP U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
07.09.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Referência U20	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Rio Claro U20 - Botafogo SP U20	0:4 ✺
26.07.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Corinthians U20	4:1 ✺
19.07.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Água Santa U20	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
07.09.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	2:0
14.09.24	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Botafogo SP U20	3:1
20.08.24	Botafogo SP U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	1:2

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