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Current Win Probability
Grêmio Novorizontino U20 29%
Draw 28.1%
São Paulo U20 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.8%
27%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
26.4%
46.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
São Paulo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino U20 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 2 - 0, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟥,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
São Paulo U20 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
São Paulo U20 - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 45.21%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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