Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Grêmio Porto Alegrense		ESMAC

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Grêmio Porto Alegrense
66.3%

Draw
19.5%

ESMAC
14.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.4%

22.4%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

22.3%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Porto Alegrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Porto Alegrense's performance.

ESMAC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Porto Alegrense than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Porto Alegrense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ESMAC than the current prediction. (+3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Grêmio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

ESMAC is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Grêmio is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Porto Alegrense Women
Brasileiro Women
02.04.22	Real Brasilia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	São Paulo - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	3:0 ✺
19.03.22	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Cruzeiro - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLTTT
- ESMAC Women
Brasileiro Women
03.04.22	CRESSPOM - ESMAC	2:2 ✺
27.03.22	ESMAC - São José dos Campos	1:0 ✺
20.03.22	Kindermann-Avaí - ESMAC	5:2 ✺
13.03.22	ESMAC - Internacional	0:4 ✺
06.03.22	Ferroviária - ESMAC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLLL

Grêmio Porto Alegrense - ESMAC