Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 3

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	Grêmio U20		Corinthians U20

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	2.78	3.3	2.22
	2.82	3.59	2.25
	2.75	3.68	2.21
	2.7	3.25	2.2
	2.79	3.45	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.78)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	2.22 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio U20
32.8%

Draw
26.4%

Corinthians U20
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.6%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

25.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Corinthians U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio U20 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Grêmio U20 - Corinthians U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Luizinho ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Joao Victor (Penalty Awarded),
37', 1 - 2, Higor ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 3, Tigrinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio U20 won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Grêmio U20 has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grêmio U20 won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio U20 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS U20
Brasileiro U20
25.02.26	Santos U20 - Grêmio U20	4:1 ✺
20.02.26	Grêmio U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:5 ✺
Brazilian Copinha
21.01.26	Grêmio U20 - Cruzeiro U20	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Grêmio U20 - Ceará U20	3:0 ✺
16.01.26	Grêmio U20 - América RN U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW
- Corinthians U20
Brasileiro U20
26.02.26	Bahia U20 - Corinthians U20	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Corinthians U20 - América MG U20	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Copinha
12.01.26	Corinthians U20 - Guarani U20	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	XV de Jaú U20 - Corinthians U20	2:3 ✺
06.01.26	Luverdense U20 - Corinthians U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
19.03.25	Corinthians U20 - Grêmio U20	1:1
Brazilian Copinha
22.01.25	Grêmio U20 - Corinthians U20	0:1
Brasileiro U20
13.07.24	Grêmio U20 - Corinthians U20	3:3
28.07.23	Corinthians U20 - Grêmio U20	2:1
20.07.23	Grêmio U20 - Corinthians U20	1:2
09.07.22	Grêmio U20 - Corinthians U20	0:0
14.08.21	Grêmio U20 - Corinthians U20	2:1

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