The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
XV de Jaú U20 11.4%
Draw 18.5%
Corinthians U20 70.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.6%
23.2%
58.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.8%
22.2%
60.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
XV de Jaú U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that XV de Jaú U20's form might have worsened.
Corinthians U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corinthians U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for XV de Jaú U20 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for XV de Jaú U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corinthians U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
XV de Jaú U20 - Corinthians U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
21', (Penalty Awarded),
40', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 3, ⚽,
86', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg.
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals)).
In recent outings, XV de Jaú U20 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Corinthians U20 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, Corinthians U20 enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, XV de Jaú U20 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for XV de Jaú U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 1.5:2.5 per game).