Match Info

Division 1 - Round 14

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Vivaldivöllurinn (Seltjarnarnes)


	Grótta		Ægir

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.50	4.40	4.50
	1.49	4.75	4.35	Watch
	1.55	5.17	4.82
	1.52	5.04	4.67	Watch
	1.49	4.75	5
	1.57	4.3	4.98	Watch
	1.51	4.7	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.82)	4.73 ↑ (3.98)	4.69 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grótta
60.8%

Draw
19.5%

Ægir
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

21.9%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grótta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grótta's performance.

Ægir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ægir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grótta than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grótta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ægir than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ægir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Grótta - Ægir Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grótta will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ægir will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grótta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ingason G. (G) 7. Andresson B. 4. Bjarkason D. 10. Jakobsson G. (C) 9. Jonasson A. 30. Kjeld M. 2. Magnusson H. 8. McLagan C. 24. Nokkvason N. 20. Thordarson K. 16. Thorsteinson H.	1. Einarsson Omar E. O. (G) 9. Adeyemo J. 11. Dabetic S. (C) 50. Gateau B. 8. Gudbjartsson A. 45. Ponjevic D. 20. Sanabria A. 24. Skoczylas P. L. 7. Thorbergsson K. A. 21. Thrastarson D. 22. Willard H.
Substitutes
1. Arnarsson A. (G) 3. Bragason J. 22. Gudmundsson V. 18. Hauksson E. 5. Petursson P. 11. Sigurdarson A. 14. Sveinbjarnarson E.	66. Gilbertsson S. H. 80. Joninuson B. 27. Panic M. 19. Stojanovic N. 12. Thull G. (G) 14. Vidarsson B. 30. Viggosson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Nokkvason N. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Kjeld M. ⚽,
32', 3 - 0, Kjeld M. ⚽,
37', 4 - 0, Andresson B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sanabria A. ↓, Stojanovic N. ↑,
46', Thorbergsson K. A. ↓, Joninuson B. ↑,
46', Thordarson K. ↓, Gudmundsson V. ↑,
47', 5 - 0, Thrastarson D. (Own goal),
60', Ponjevic D. ↓, Viggosson H. ↑,
65', Nokkvason N. ↓, Bragason J. ↑,
67', 5 - 1, Thrastarson D. ⚽,
71', 6 - 1, Bragason J. ⚽,
72', Dabetic S. ↓, Vidarsson B. ↑,
74', Thorsteinson H. ↓, Sigurdarson A. ↑,
85', Andresson B. ↓, Hauksson E. ↑,
85', Jonasson A. ↓, Sveinbjarnarson E. ↑,
88', Willard H. ↓, Gilbertsson S. H. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Grótta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ægir is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Grótta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Grótta is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grótta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Grótta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Grótta
Icelandic Division 1
14.07.26	Grótta - Grindavik	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Leiknir Reykjavík - Grótta	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Grótta - HK Kópavogur	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Völsungur - Grótta	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Grótta - Fylkir	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWTL
- KF Ægir
Icelandic Division 1
10.07.26	Ægir - HK Kópavogur	3:4 ✺
03.07.26	Ægir - Fylkir	2:4 ✺
29.06.26	Afturelding - Ægir	8:1 ✺
26.06.26	Grindavik - Ægir	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Ægir - Throttur Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
09.05.26	Ægir - Grótta	0:1
Icelandic Division 2
23.08.25	Ægir - Grótta	1:3
14.06.25	Grótta - Ægir	3:3
Icelandic Division 1
21.08.23	Ægir - Grótta	2:2
15.06.23	Grótta - Ægir	2:1

Grótta - Ægir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide