Match Info

SERBIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 9

Date: 22 November 2023, Wednesday


	Grafičar Beograd		Kolubara

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.1	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.02	3.26	3.44
	1.97	3.26	3.44
	2	3.1	3.1
	2.2	2.82	3.42	Watch
	2	3.15	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.16)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	3.33 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grafičar Beograd
44.2%

Draw
28.7%

Kolubara
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grafičar Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Kolubara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grafičar Beograd than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolubara than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Grafičar Beograd - Kolubara Predictions

Users Predictions: Grafičar Beograd will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grafičar Beograd
Serbian Prva Liga
18.11.23	Jedinstvo Ub - Grafičar Beograd	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Grafičar Beograd - Metalac	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Grafičar Beograd - Sloboda Užice	5:1 ✺
Serbian Cup
01.11.23	Grafičar Beograd - Spartak Subotica	2:0 ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
28.10.23	Mačva Šabac - Grafičar Beograd	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWT
- FK Kolubara
Serbian Prva Liga
18.11.23	Mačva Šabac - Kolubara	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Kolubara - Vršac	4:0 ✺
05.11.23	Kolubara - Mladost Novi Sad	0:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
01.11.23	Inđija - Kolubara	4:1 ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
28.10.23	Smederevo - Kolubara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
12.04.21	Kolubara - Grafičar Beograd	1:0
12.10.20	Grafičar Beograd - Kolubara	0:0
13.11.19	Kolubara - Grafičar Beograd	3:1
18.08.19	Grafičar Beograd - Kolubara	3:0

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