Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Grama		Pobla de Mafumet

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.9
	2.31	2.83	3.04
	2.32	2.83	3.04
	2.35	2.99	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.26)	2.91 ↓ (3.15)	3.02 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grama
39.1%

Draw
31%

Pobla de Mafumet
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Pobla de Mafumet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grama than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pobla de Mafumet than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Varona I. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Padillo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grama won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Grama could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Grama will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Grama won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Grama won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FE Grama
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.04.24	Peralada - Grama	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Grama - Montañesa	3:1 ✺
29.03.24	Vilafranca - Grama	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Grama - LEscala	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Girona B - Grama	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTLL
- CF Pobla de Mafumet
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
10.04.24	Tona - Pobla de Mafumet	3:2 ✺
06.04.24	Pobla de Mafumet - Peralada	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Montañesa - Pobla de Mafumet	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Pobla de Mafumet - Vilafranca	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	LEscala - Pobla de Mafumet	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Grama	0:2
12.03.23	Grama - Pobla de Mafumet	0:0
06.11.22	Pobla de Mafumet - Grama	2:0
10.04.22	Pobla de Mafumet - Grama	1:0
05.12.21	Grama - Pobla de Mafumet	1:0
20.01.19	Grama - Pobla de Mafumet	1:2
01.09.18	Pobla de Mafumet - Grama	4:0

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